← Süper Lig 2023 · Sun, May 26, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: V. Bayarslan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 93% | 1.03 |
| Draw | 5% | 29.31 |
| İstanbulspor win | 2% | 61.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| İstanbulspor −3.75 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Fenerbahce −3.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 84% | 1.13 |
| Under | 16% | 6.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ (pen) | Edin Dzeko · Fenerbahce |
| 15' | ⚽ | Sebastian Szymański · Fenerbahce |
| 35' | ⚽ | Dušan Tadić · Fenerbahce |
| 57' | 🟨 | Fred · Fenerbahce |
| 66' | ⚽ | Bright Osayi-Samuel · Fenerbahce |
| 76' | ⚽ | Serdar Dursun · Fenerbahce |
| 78' | ⚽ | Joshua King · Fenerbahce |
| 80' | 🟨 | Okan Erdoğan · İstanbulspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Leonardo Bonucci · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 26 | Shots | 9 |
| 14 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | İstanbulspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi |
| coach days | 725.00 | 146.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 3.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1886.93 | 1331.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.21 | -33.85 |
| eye test v1 | 1.13 | 0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.20 | 58.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -2.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.65 |
| league points | 116.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 84.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 9.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 2.58 | 0.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.20 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.60 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.56 | 0.31 |
| solidity v1 | 1.62 | -1.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.20 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 28.27 | 26.27 |
| state index | 1.57 | -1.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.17 | -0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.66 | 1.91 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.54 | 1.31 |