← Süper Lig 2023 · Sat, May 25, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Erdoğan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor win | 52% | 1.87 |
| Kayserispor win | 26% | 3.72 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Kayserispor −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.54 |
| Under | 38% | 2.52 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Bengali-Fodé Koita · Sivasspor |
| 24' | ⚽ | Joseph Attamah · Kayserispor |
| 26' | 🟨 | Uğur Çiftçi · Sivasspor |
| 26' | 🟨 | Joseph Attamah · Kayserispor |
| 44' | 🟨 | Mehmet Eray Özbek · Kayserispor |
| 53' | ⚽ | Mijo Caktaš · Sivasspor |
| 77' | 🟨 | Arif Kocaman · Kayserispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 10 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sivasspor | Kayserispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | BG Group 4 Eylül Stadyumu |
| coach days | 176.00 | 145.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.48 | 1.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1534.52 | 1494.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.12 | -0.79 |
| eye test v1 | -0.19 | -0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.80 | 64.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.53 |
| league points | 54.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.20 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 8.08 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.79 | -0.37 |
| solidity v1 | -0.98 | -1.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 28.89 | 30.42 |
| state index | -0.52 | -0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.95 | -0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.37 | 1.71 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.98 | 1.06 |