← Süper Lig 2023 · Sat, May 25, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Türkmen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk win | 44% | 2.18 |
| Samsunspor win | 31% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Samsunspor −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.70 |
| Under | 44% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Tonio Teklić · Karagumruk |
| 39' | 🟨 | Haluk Mustafa Tan · Samsunspor |
| 42' | ⚽ | Marcão · Karagumruk |
| 50' | ⚽ | Ryan Mendes · Karagumruk |
| 57' | ⚽ | Soner Aydoğdu · Samsunspor |
| 70' | 🟨 | Valentin Eysseric · Karagumruk |
| 72' | 🟥 | Yunus Emre Çift · Samsunspor |
| 90' | ⚽ | Güven Yalçın · Karagumruk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karagumruk | Samsunspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı |
| coach days | 85.00 | 237.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.41 | 2.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1521.77 | 1518.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.27 | -12.70 |
| eye test v1 | 0.66 | -0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.90 | 50.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.76 |
| league points | 45.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 15.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 6.88 | 6.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.17 | -0.29 |
| solidity v1 | -0.62 | 0.88 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 30.28 | 27.48 |
| state index | -0.36 | -0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.82 | -0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.58 | 0.68 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.64 | 1.18 |