← Süper Lig 2023 · Sat, May 18, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: Z. Küçük
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk win | 39% | 2.49 |
| Gaziantep win | 34% | 2.87 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.52 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk +0 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Gaziantep +0 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.78 |
| Under | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Lazar Marković · Gaziantep |
| 31' | 🟨 | Aliou Badji · Gaziantep |
| 39' | 🟨 | Dimitrios Kourbelis · Karagumruk |
| 47' | ⚽ | Ertuğrul Ersoy · Gaziantep |
| 55' | 🟥 | Federico Ceccherini · Karagumruk |
| 67' | ⚽ | Marcão · Karagumruk |
| 80' | 🟨 | Marcus Rohdén · Karagumruk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marko Jevtović · Gaziantep |
| 90' | ⚽ | Marko Jevtović · Gaziantep |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jamiro Monteiro · Gaziantep |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 12 |
| 12 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gaziantep | Karagumruk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Kalyon Stadyumu |
| coach days | 78.00 | 78.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 2.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1480.54 | 1536.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 72.87 | 16.08 |
| eye test v1 | 0.05 | 1.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 68.70 | 51.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.06 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| league points | 45.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.40 | 44.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.02 | 1.02 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.63 | 0.15 |
| solidity v1 | -0.01 | -0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 30.67 | 30.12 |
| state index | 0.71 | -0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.00 | -1.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.24 | 1.68 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.28 | 1.76 |