← Süper Lig 2023 · Sat, May 18, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: C. Aydın
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 63% | 1.52 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.59 |
| Hatayspor win | 16% | 6.16 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas −1 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Hatayspor −1 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.61 |
| Under | 40% | 2.42 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ | Chandrel Massanga · Hatayspor |
| 44' | 🟨 | Rui Pedro · Hatayspor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Joelson Fernandes · Hatayspor |
| 50' | ⚽ | Gedson Fernandes · Besiktas |
| 55' | ⚽ | Fisayo Dele-Bashiru · Hatayspor |
| 74' | 🟨 | Vincent Aboubakar · Besiktas |
| 74' | 🟨 | Arthur Masuaku · Besiktas |
| 76' | 🟨 | Ernest Muçi · Besiktas |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tayyip Talha Sanuç · Besiktas |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gedson Fernandes · Besiktas |
| 90' | 🟨 | Salih Uçan · Besiktas |
| 90' | 🟨 | Cemali Sertel · Hatayspor |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Vincent Aboubakar · Besiktas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 6 | Fouls | 17 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Besiktas | Hatayspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Tüpraş Stadyumu |
| coach days | 138.00 | 17.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.81 | 1.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1611.86 | 1422.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.52 | -3.59 |
| eye test v1 | 0.21 | 0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.69 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.50 | 54.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.63 |
| league points | 60.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.02 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.11 | 0.14 |
| solidity v1 | 0.21 | -0.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 28.51 | 26.50 |
| state index | 0.29 | -0.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.58 | -0.71 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.16 | 1.58 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.10 | 1.46 |