← Süper Lig 2023 · Sat, May 4, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Bitigen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 36% | 2.72 |
| Samsunspor win | 35% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor +0 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Samsunspor +0 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ (pen) | Taylan Antalyalı · Samsunspor |
| 28' | ⚽ | Marius Mouandilmadji · Samsunspor |
| 32' | ⚽ | Enis Bardhi · Trabzonspor |
| 36' | ⚽ (og) | Joaquín Fernández · Samsunspor |
| 39' | 🟨 | Youssef Aït Bennasser · Samsunspor |
| 58' | 🟨 | Alim Öztürk · Samsunspor |
| 65' | 🟨 | Eren Elmalı · Trabzonspor |
| 69' | 🟨 | Taylan Antalyalı · Samsunspor |
| 73' | 🟨 | Kingsley Schindler · Samsunspor |
| 85' | 🟨 | Osman Çelik · Samsunspor |
| 87' | 🟨 | Berat Ayberk Özdemir · Trabzonspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 21 | Fouls | 12 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Samsunspor | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu |
| coach days | 216.00 | 216.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.25 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.60 | 3.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1515.32 | 1622.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.32 | 10.14 |
| eye test v1 | -0.62 | 0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | -0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.30 | 58.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.60 |
| league points | 47.00 | 65.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 7.13 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 1.59 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.57 | 0.62 |
| solidity v1 | 0.84 | 0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.46 | 28.30 |
| state index | -0.45 | 0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.02 | 0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.94 | 1.10 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.83 | 1.39 |