← Süper Lig 2023 · Fri, May 3, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: E. Kargın
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ankaragücü win | 43% | 2.26 |
| Alanyaspor win | 29% | 3.34 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Ankaragücü −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Anastasios Chatzigiovanis · Ankaragücü |
| 11' | 🟨 | Furkan Bayır · Alanyaspor |
| 62' | 🟨 | Uroš Radaković · Ankaragücü |
| 68' | 🟨 | Stelios Kitsiou · Ankaragücü |
| 87' | 🟨 | Furkan Bayır · Alanyaspor |
| 87' | 🟥 | Furkan Bayır · Alanyaspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tolga Ciğerci · Ankaragücü |
| 90' | 🟨 | Oğuz Aydın · Alanyaspor |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Oğuz Aydın · Alanyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ankaragücü | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Eryaman Stadyumu |
| coach days | 215.00 | 184.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.16 | 3.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1524.52 | 1563.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.19 | 28.17 |
| eye test v1 | 0.52 | 0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.70 | 59.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.76 |
| league points | 47.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.60 | 85.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.80 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 5.04 | 5.17 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.80 | 0.79 |
| solidity v1 | 0.66 | 0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 28.35 | 29.16 |
| state index | 0.23 | 0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.62 | 0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.03 | 1.22 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.25 | 1.64 |