← Süper Lig 2023 · Mon, Apr 29, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: K. Sağlam
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk win | 57% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.02 |
| Antalyaspor win | 19% | 5.27 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk −0.75 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Antalyaspor −0.75 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.68 |
| Under | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | ⚽ | Güven Yalçın · Karagumruk |
| 42' | 🟨 | Ramzi Safuri · Antalyaspor |
| 55' | 🟨 | Ramzi Safuri · Antalyaspor |
| 55' | 🟥 | Ramzi Safuri · Antalyaspor |
| 64' | ⚽ | Marcão · Karagumruk |
| 73' | 🟨 | Kevin Lasagna · Karagumruk |
| 78' | ⚽ | Sam Larsson · Antalyaspor |
| 81' | ⚽ | Can Keleş · Karagumruk |
| 90' | ⚽ | Flavio Paoletti · Karagumruk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karagumruk | Antalyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı |
| coach days | 59.00 | 119.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.50 | 2.98 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1528.04 | 1527.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.81 | -3.73 |
| eye test v1 | 0.45 | -0.91 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.57 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.90 | 63.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.74 |
| league points | 41.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 83.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 9.27 | 8.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.02 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| solidity v1 | -1.94 | -0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 29.61 | 30.64 |
| state index | -0.24 | -0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.24 | 0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.41 | 1.53 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.33 | 0.92 |