← Süper Lig 2023 · Sun, Apr 28, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Tonusluoğlu
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 61% | 1.56 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.33 |
| Gaziantep win | 16% | 6.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep −1 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Trabzonspor −1 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Deian Sorescu · Gaziantep |
| 21' | ⚽ | Denis Drăguş · Gaziantep |
| 41' | 🟨 | Alexandru Maxim · Gaziantep |
| 50' | ⚽ | Paul Onuachu · Trabzonspor |
| 53' | 🟨 | Paul Onuachu · Trabzonspor |
| 59' | 🟨 | Enis Bardhi · Trabzonspor |
| 65' | ⚽ | Enis Bardhi · Trabzonspor |
| 66' | ⚽ | Paul Onuachu · Trabzonspor |
| 68' | ⚽ | Paul Onuachu · Trabzonspor |
| 84' | 🟨 | Ogün Özçiçek · Gaziantep |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Trabzonspor | Gaziantep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.60 |
| venue | Papara Park |
| coach days | 210.00 | 58.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.89 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1616.81 | 1426.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.27 | 7.18 |
| eye test v1 | 0.43 | -0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.46 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.30 | 66.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.71 |
| league points | 62.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 41.40 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 0.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.80 | -0.81 |
| solidity v1 | 0.40 | -0.94 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.97 | 29.45 |
| state index | 0.58 | -0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.54 | -1.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.01 | 1.84 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.58 | 1.03 |