← Süper Lig 2023 · Mon, Apr 22, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: C. Aydın
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 74% | 1.32 |
| Draw | 17% | 5.80 |
| Sivasspor win | 9% | 10.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce +1.5 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Sivasspor +1.5 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.59 |
| Under | 39% | 2.47 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | İbrahim Akdağ · Sivasspor |
| 35' | 🟨 | İsmail Yüksek · Fenerbahce |
| 45' | ⚽ | Fred · Fenerbahce |
| 57' | ⚽ | Bengali-Fodé Koita · Sivasspor |
| 63' | 🟨 | Uğur Çiftçi · Sivasspor |
| 80' | ⚽ | İrfan Can Kahveci · Fenerbahce |
| 88' | 🟨 | Bengali-Fodé Koita · Sivasspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rey Manaj · Sivasspor |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Rey Manaj · Sivasspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 6 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sivasspor | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | BG Group 4 Eylül Stadyumu |
| coach days | 143.00 | 691.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 2.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1533.25 | 1869.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.80 | 0.53 |
| eye test v1 | -0.09 | 0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.10 | 56.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.67 |
| league points | 47.00 | 102.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.00 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 10.00 | 3.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.39 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 2.62 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 6.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.51 | 0.65 |
| solidity v1 | -0.16 | -0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 29.33 | 28.95 |
| state index | -0.13 | 1.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.80 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.15 | 1.07 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.22 | 1.79 |