← Süper Lig 2023 · Sat, Apr 20, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: B. Şeker
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk win | 60% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.75 |
| İstanbulspor win | 19% | 5.29 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| İstanbulspor +1 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Karagumruk +1 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.45 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Koray Günter · Karagumruk |
| 47' | 🟨 | Modestas Vorobjovas · İstanbulspor |
| 64' | 🟨 | Emre Mor · Karagumruk |
| 85' | ⚽ | Racine Coly · İstanbulspor |
| 86' | ⚽ | Güven Yalçın · Karagumruk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Florian Loshaj · İstanbulspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Racine Coly · İstanbulspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Davide Biraschi · Karagumruk |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Sofiane Feghouli · Karagumruk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 24 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 1 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | İstanbulspor | Karagumruk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| venue | Esenyurt Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu |
| coach days | 110.00 | 50.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 3.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1372.59 | 1520.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.64 | -34.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.72 | -0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | 0.55 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 53.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.71 |
| league points | 20.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 5.90 | 5.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 0.51 | 0.97 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.60 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.66 | -0.19 |
| solidity v1 | -1.13 | -1.80 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.36 | 30.08 |
| state index | -0.83 | -1.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.03 | -0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.76 | 2.22 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.96 | 0.88 |