← Süper Lig 2023 · Thu, Apr 4, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: B. Şimşek
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor win | 46% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.41 |
| Pendikspor win | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor −0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Pendikspor −0.25 | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.94 |
| Under | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | 🟨 | Umut Nayir · Pendikspor |
| 89' | 🟨 | Abdoulay Diaby · Pendikspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Benito Raman · Samsunspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 10 | Corners | 9 |
| 12 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Samsunspor | Pendikspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 4.00 |
| venue | Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu |
| coach days | 186.00 | 186.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 2.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1531.25 | 1459.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.00 | -36.59 |
| eye test v1 | -0.64 | -0.90 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.36 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.40 | 61.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.58 |
| league points | 43.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 18.19 | 20.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.61 | -0.33 |
| solidity v1 | 1.07 | -0.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 28.59 | 30.26 |
| state index | 0.06 | -0.81 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.53 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.66 | 1.54 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.08 | 1.02 |