← Süper Lig 2023 · Tue, Apr 2, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Ç. Altay
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor win | 48% | 2.03 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Ankaragücü win | 24% | 4.04 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ankaragücü −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Antalyaspor −0.5 | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | ⚽ | Erdoğan Yeşilyurt · Antalyaspor |
| 57' | 🟨 | Christian Bassogog · Ankaragücü |
| 64' | ⚽ | Efkan Bekiroğlu · Ankaragücü |
| 81' | 🟨 | Güray Vural · Antalyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 16 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 6 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antalyaspor | Ankaragücü |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.40 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Corendon Airlines Park |
| coach days | 92.00 | 184.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 3.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1539.55 | 1523.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.56 | 4.02 |
| eye test v1 | -0.11 | -0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 69.50 | 52.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.72 |
| league points | 45.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 17.00 | 17.19 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.08 | -0.80 |
| solidity v1 | -0.75 | -0.52 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 29.38 | 28.28 |
| state index | 0.19 | -0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.49 | -0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.63 | 1.50 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.26 | 0.97 |