← Süper Lig 2023 · Sun, Mar 17, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Şeker
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor win | 42% | 2.34 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Hatayspor win | 29% | 3.43 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor +0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Samsunspor +0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.68 |
| Over | 42% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Carlos Strandberg · Hatayspor |
| 34' | 🟨 | Kerim Alıcı · Hatayspor |
| 41' | 🟨 | Emre Kılınç · Samsunspor |
| 60' | 🟨 | Faouzi Ghoulam · Hatayspor |
| 69' | 🟨 | Erce Kardeşler · Hatayspor |
| 80' | 🟨 | Nikola Maksimović · Hatayspor |
| 89' | ⚽ | Fisayo Dele-Bashiru · Hatayspor |
| 90' | ⚽ | Rigoberto Rivas · Hatayspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 0 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 9 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hatayspor | Samsunspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.16 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Mersin Stadyumu |
| coach days | 563.00 | 168.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.60 | 1.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1433.24 | 1551.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.52 | 4.48 |
| eye test v1 | -1.00 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | -0.50 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.90 | 55.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | — |
| league points | 38.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 44.20 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.40 | -0.76 |
| solidity v1 | -0.44 | 1.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.44 | 28.88 |
| state index | -0.77 | 0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.44 | -0.87 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.53 | 0.54 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.54 | 1.15 |