← Süper Lig 2023 · Sat, Mar 16, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: B. Pakkan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 51% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Antalyaspor win | 22% | 4.55 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas −0.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Antalyaspor −0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.93 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Bünyamin Balcı · Antalyaspor |
| 13' | 🟨 | Ramzi Safuri · Antalyaspor |
| 37' | 🟨 | Gedson Fernandes · Besiktas |
| 38' | ⚽ (pen) | Adam Buksa · Antalyaspor |
| 40' | 🟨 | Adam Buksa · Antalyaspor |
| 46' | ⚽ | Ernest Muçi · Besiktas |
| 63' | 🟨 | Joe Worrall · Besiktas |
| 73' | 🟨 | Erdoğan Yeşilyurt · Antalyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 20 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Besiktas | Antalyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | Tüpraş Stadyumu |
| coach days | 75.00 | 75.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.38 | 2.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1611.44 | 1525.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.27 | -10.53 |
| eye test v1 | -0.17 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 73.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.75 |
| league points | 50.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 7.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.13 | -0.07 |
| solidity v1 | 0.98 | -0.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.29 | 28.73 |
| state index | 0.04 | -0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.06 | -0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.70 | 1.50 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.87 | 1.05 |