← Süper Lig 2023 · Sat, Mar 16, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: E. Kargın
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Kayserispor win | 26% | 3.85 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor −0.5 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Alanyaspor −0.5 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | 🟨 | Bilal Bayazit · Kayserispor |
| 40' | 🟨 | Kartal Kayra Yılmaz · Kayserispor |
| 74' | 🟨 | João Novais · Alanyaspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mehdi Bourabia · Kayserispor |
| 90' | ⚽ | Oğuz Aydın · Alanyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 0 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alanyaspor | Kayserispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| venue | Kırbıyık Holding Stadyumu |
| coach days | 136.00 | 75.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.62 | 1.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1527.28 | 1525.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.69 | 14.68 |
| eye test v1 | 0.10 | 0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 64.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.70 |
| league points | 41.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 14.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 14.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.37 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.60 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.07 | 0.40 |
| solidity v1 | -0.76 | -0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 29.20 | 29.98 |
| state index | 0.25 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.51 | 1.38 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.41 | 1.26 |