← Süper Lig 2023 · Mon, Mar 11, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Kardeşler
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 45% | 2.18 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Gaziantep win | 27% | 3.59 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas +0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Gaziantep +0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.81 |
| Over | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Deian Sorescu · Gaziantep |
| 40' | 🟨 | Ogün Özçiçek · Gaziantep |
| 58' | 🟨 | Necip Uysal · Besiktas |
| 69' | 🟨 | Ertuğrul Ersoy · Gaziantep |
| 85' | ⚽ | Denis Drăguş · Gaziantep |
| 88' | 🟨 | Florin Niță · Gaziantep |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rachid Ghezzal · Besiktas |
| 90' | 🟨 | Arthur Masuaku · Besiktas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gaziantep | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Kalyon Stadyumu |
| coach days | 10.00 | 70.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 2.15 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1397.34 | 1633.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.36 | 2.98 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | -0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.00 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.79 |
| league points | 29.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 7.02 | 8.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.85 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.33 | -0.42 |
| solidity v1 | 0.30 | 1.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 30.41 | 29.01 |
| state index | -0.69 | 0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | -0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.78 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.94 | 0.70 |