← Süper Lig 2023 · Sun, Mar 10, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Ü. Öztürk
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor win | 47% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Ankaragücü win | 24% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ankaragücü −0.5 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Samsunspor −0.5 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Carlo Holse · Samsunspor |
| 14' | ⚽ (og) | Alim Öztürk · Ankaragücü |
| 19' | 🟨 | Riccardo Saponara · Ankaragücü |
| 31' | 🟨 | Flavien Tait · Samsunspor |
| 52' | 🟨 | Stelios Kitsiou · Ankaragücü |
| 59' | 🟨 | Tolga Ciğerci · Ankaragücü |
| 82' | ⚽ | Olivier Ntcham · Samsunspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 22 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Samsunspor | Ankaragücü |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu |
| coach days | 161.00 | 161.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 8.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 2.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1544.42 | 1506.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.56 | -33.24 |
| eye test v1 | -0.36 | -0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.72 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.40 | 50.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.91 |
| league points | 40.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.80 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 8.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.88 | -0.43 |
| solidity v1 | 0.86 | -0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.52 | 27.69 |
| state index | 0.21 | -1.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.83 | -0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.87 | 1.10 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.02 | 0.83 |