← Süper Lig 2023 · Sun, Mar 10, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: H. Meler
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor win | 50% | 1.98 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
| Hatayspor win | 24% | 4.11 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor −0.5 | 50% | 1.98 |
| Hatayspor −0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.93 |
| Under | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Doğukan Sinik · Hatayspor |
| 16' | 🟨 | Doğukan Sinik · Hatayspor |
| 23' | ⚽ | Mehdi Bourabia · Kayserispor |
| 69' | 🟨 | Recep Burak Yılmaz · Hatayspor |
| 71' | 🟨 | Miguel Cardoso · Kayserispor |
| 75' | 🟨 | Ramazan Civelek · Kayserispor |
| 76' | 🟥 | Arif Kocaman · Kayserispor |
| 79' | 🟨 | Gökhan Sazdağı · Kayserispor |
| 82' | 🟨 | Mehdi Boudjemaa · Hatayspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 5 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kayserispor | Hatayspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | RHG Enertürk Enerji Stadyumu |
| coach days | 69.00 | 556.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1529.54 | 1428.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.75 | -0.41 |
| eye test v1 | 0.20 | -0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.80 | 58.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.67 |
| league points | 47.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 7.90 | 7.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.21 | -0.16 |
| solidity v1 | -0.45 | -0.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 30.83 | 26.98 |
| state index | 0.05 | -0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.30 | 0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.49 | 1.57 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.07 | 0.85 |