← Süper Lig 2023 · Sat, Mar 9, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: A. Şansalan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor win | 38% | 2.60 |
| Alanyaspor win | 33% | 3.02 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor +0 | 55% | 1.79 |
| Alanyaspor +0 | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.77 |
| Over | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Mijo Caktaš · Sivasspor |
| 49' | ⚽ | Ahmed Hassan · Alanyaspor |
| 52' | 🟨 | Bengali-Fodé Koita · Sivasspor |
| 63' | 🟨 | Jure Balkovec · Alanyaspor |
| 64' | ⚽ | Rey Manaj · Sivasspor |
| 66' | 🟨 | Rey Manaj · Sivasspor |
| 67' | 🟨 | Fidan Aliti · Alanyaspor |
| 79' | ⚽ | Oğuz Aydın · Alanyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 5 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sivasspor | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.50 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | BG Group 4 Eylül Stadyumu |
| coach days | 99.00 | 129.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 3.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1546.05 | 1514.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.74 | 31.54 |
| eye test v1 | -0.61 | 0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.30 | 52.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.71 |
| league points | 41.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.20 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 7.73 | 4.73 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.40 | -7.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.89 | 0.08 |
| solidity v1 | 0.73 | -1.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 31.06 | 29.29 |
| state index | 0.24 | -0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.28 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.89 | 1.73 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.71 | 1.36 |