← Süper Lig 2023 · Sat, Mar 2, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: M. Metoğlu
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ankaragücü win | 61% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.20 |
| İstanbulspor win | 16% | 5.97 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| İstanbulspor −1 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Ankaragücü −1 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Pedrinho · Ankaragücü |
| 38' | 🟥 | Ertaç Özbir · Ankaragücü |
| 43' | 🟨 | Ali Yaşar · İstanbulspor |
| 45' | ⚽ | Florian Loshaj · İstanbulspor |
| 52' | 🟨 | Okan Erdoğan · İstanbulspor |
| 53' | ⚽ | Christian Bassogog · Ankaragücü |
| 54' | 🟨 | Atakan Çankaya · Ankaragücü |
| 88' | 🟨 | Mehmet Yeşil · İstanbulspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Garry Rodrigues · Ankaragücü |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 10 | Corners | 2 |
| 4 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ankaragücü | İstanbulspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Eryaman Stadyumu |
| coach days | 153.00 | 61.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.99 | 2.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1511.41 | 1376.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.46 | -28.60 |
| eye test v1 | -0.90 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | -0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.90 | 62.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.91 | 0.64 |
| league points | 35.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 0.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.80 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.65 | -0.37 |
| solidity v1 | -0.71 | -0.94 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 28.14 | 26.30 |
| state index | -0.90 | -1.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | 0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.30 | 1.62 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.83 | 0.98 |