← Süper Lig 2023 · Sun, Feb 25, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Numanoğlu
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk win | 51% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
| Alanyaspor win | 22% | 4.61 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Alanyaspor −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Valentin Eysseric · Karagumruk |
| 33' | 🟥 | Ryan Mendes · Karagumruk |
| 49' | 🟨 | Nuno Lima · Alanyaspor |
| 65' | 🟨 | Kevin Lasagna · Karagumruk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dimitrios Kourbelis · Karagumruk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Levent Mercan · Karagumruk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Florent Hadergjonaj · Alanyaspor |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Ahmed Hassan · Alanyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 19 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 1 | Corners | 11 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karagumruk | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.63 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı |
| coach days | 86.00 | 116.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.84 | 3.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1566.06 | 1493.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.37 | -3.76 |
| eye test v1 | 0.27 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.10 | 58.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | — |
| league points | 36.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.20 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 8.83 | 7.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.11 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.20 | -5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.69 | 0.24 |
| solidity v1 | 0.86 | -0.84 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 30.32 | 28.28 |
| state index | 0.47 | -0.77 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.53 | 0.92 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.97 | 1.41 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.19 |