← Süper Lig 2023 · Fri, Feb 23, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Erdoğan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor win | 54% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.81 |
| Rizespor win | 21% | 4.83 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rizespor −0.75 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Samsunspor −0.75 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Rick Van Drongelen · Samsunspor |
| 37' | 🟨 | Benito Raman · Samsunspor |
| 39' | 🟨 | Zeki Yavru · Samsunspor |
| 54' | ⚽ | Carlo Holse · Samsunspor |
| 78' | ⚽ (pen) | Olivier Ntcham · Samsunspor |
| 88' | 🟨 | Gustavo Sauer · Rizespor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 8 |
| 19 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Samsunspor | Rizespor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu |
| coach days | 145.00 | 267.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 3.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1545.25 | 1491.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.59 | -15.37 |
| eye test v1 | -0.15 | -0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.00 | 58.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | — |
| league points | 37.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.00 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 5.17 | 6.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.39 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.01 | -0.22 |
| solidity v1 | 0.88 | 0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.25 | 25.93 |
| state index | 0.03 | -0.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.79 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.84 | 1.17 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.88 | 0.93 |