← Süper Lig 2023 · Sat, Feb 17, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Ü. Öztürk
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor win | 42% | 2.29 |
| Sivasspor win | 29% | 3.49 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Hatayspor −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Rey Manaj · Sivasspor |
| 68' | 🟨 | Rui Pedro · Hatayspor |
| 74' | 🟨 | Uğur Çiftçi · Sivasspor |
| 75' | ⚽ | Mehdi Boudjemaa · Hatayspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 4 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hatayspor | Sivasspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Mersin Stadyumu |
| coach days | 534.00 | 78.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 2.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1440.33 | 1530.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 45.98 | 9.77 |
| eye test v1 | -0.95 | -0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.10 | 53.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| league points | 36.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.00 | 38.60 |
| rest days | 4.96 | 6.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -11.80 | -6.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.88 | -0.79 |
| solidity v1 | -0.06 | -0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.15 | 30.22 |
| state index | -0.19 | -0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.06 | -0.72 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.64 | 1.51 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.85 | 1.03 |