← Süper Lig 2023 · Mon, Feb 12, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: K. Sağlam
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 45% | 2.16 |
| Kayserispor win | 29% | 3.36 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.78 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas +0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Kayserispor +0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | 🟨 | Mehdi Bourabia · Kayserispor |
| 62' | 🟨 | Gökhan Sazdağı · Kayserispor |
| 89' | 🟨 | Arif Kocaman · Kayserispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kayserispor | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | RHG Enertürk Enerji Stadyumu |
| coach days | 42.00 | 42.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1508.78 | 1630.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.25 | -31.14 |
| eye test v1 | -0.39 | 0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.10 | 54.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.71 |
| league points | 37.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 56.40 |
| rest days | 9.04 | 8.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.28 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | 7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.05 | 0.54 |
| solidity v1 | -0.73 | 1.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.63 | 28.78 |
| state index | -0.92 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.72 | 0.80 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.02 | 1.33 |