← Süper Lig 2023 · Mon, Feb 12, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Şansalan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 60% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
| Hatayspor win | 16% | 6.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor −1 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Trabzonspor −1 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Mahmoud Trézéguet · Trabzonspor |
| 15' | 🟨 | Görkem Sağlam · Hatayspor |
| 49' | ⚽ | Mahmoud Trézéguet · Trabzonspor |
| 77' | ⚽ | Enis Bardhi · Trabzonspor |
| 78' | 🟨 | Enis Bardhi · Trabzonspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 23 | Shots | 11 |
| 11 | On target | 2 |
| 10 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Trabzonspor | Hatayspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.51 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.49 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Papara Park |
| coach days | 134.00 | 529.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.25 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.13 | 1.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.25 |
| elo | 1580.60 | 1447.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -75.59 | 34.96 |
| eye test v1 | -0.25 | -0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.30 | 55.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.71 |
| league points | 41.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 41.00 |
| rest days | 7.92 | 10.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.37 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -10.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 5.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.19 | -0.84 |
| solidity v1 | -0.84 | 0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.65 | 26.22 |
| state index | -1.16 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.10 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.11 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.14 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.35 | 1.57 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.09 | 0.84 |