← Süper Lig 2023 · Sun, Feb 11, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: Ç. Altay
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 81% | 1.20 |
| Draw | 13% | 8.09 |
| Alanyaspor win | 6% | 15.83 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce −2 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Alanyaspor −2 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 69% | 1.39 |
| Under | 31% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Carlos Eduardo · Alanyaspor |
| 5' | 🟨 | Leroy Fer · Alanyaspor |
| 9' | 🟨 | Sebastian Szymański · Fenerbahce |
| 12' | ⚽ | Loide Augusto · Alanyaspor |
| 42' | 🟨 | Dušan Tadić · Fenerbahce |
| 44' | 🟨 | Oğuz Aydın · Alanyaspor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Cengiz Ünder · Fenerbahce |
| 45' | 🟨 | Loide Augusto · Alanyaspor |
| 49' | ⚽ (pen) | Dušan Tadić · Fenerbahce |
| 59' | ⚽ | Edin Dzeko · Fenerbahce |
| 63' | ⚽ | Loide Augusto · Alanyaspor |
| 85' | 🟨 | Richard Cândido · Alanyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 5 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 0 |
| 10 | Fouls | 20 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi |
| coach days | 620.00 | 102.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1849.94 | 1483.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.06 | -8.67 |
| eye test v1 | 1.66 | 0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.90 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.65 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.68 |
| league points | 74.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.20 | 56.40 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 2.55 | 1.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 21.00 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.39 | 0.82 |
| solidity v1 | 1.50 | 0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 7.80 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.34 | 28.53 |
| state index | 1.32 | -0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.05 | 0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.96 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.23 | 1.61 |