← Süper Lig 2023 · Sun, Feb 11, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Bitigen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep win | 40% | 2.38 |
| İstanbulspor win | 30% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.28 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| İstanbulspor +0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Gaziantep +0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.74 |
| Over | 44% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Florian Loshaj · İstanbulspor |
| 15' | ⚽ | Denis Drăguş · Gaziantep |
| 30' | 🟨 | Florian Loshaj · İstanbulspor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Mehmet Yeşil · İstanbulspor |
| 59' | 🟨 | Okan Erdoğan · İstanbulspor |
| 60' | ⚽ (pen) | Denis Drăguş · Gaziantep |
| 70' | 🟨 | Florian Loshaj · İstanbulspor |
| 70' | 🟥 | Florian Loshaj · İstanbulspor |
| 76' | 🟨 | Denis Drăguş · Gaziantep |
| 82' | 🟨 | Salem M'Bakata · Gaziantep |
| 90' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 3 | Shots | 8 |
| 1 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | İstanbulspor | Gaziantep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Esenyurt Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu |
| coach days | 41.00 | 1016.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 7.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 2.28 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1395.15 | 1401.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.31 | 6.89 |
| eye test v1 | 0.22 | -0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | -0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.80 | 63.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | — |
| league points | 15.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 69.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 41.40 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 0.50 | 0.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -8.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.69 | -1.07 |
| solidity v1 | -0.23 | -0.86 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.61 | 28.84 |
| state index | -1.07 | -0.81 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.82 | -0.65 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.38 | 1.73 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.98 |