← Süper Lig 2023 · Sun, Feb 11, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: E. Kargın
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor win | 38% | 2.59 |
| Rizespor win | 34% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.46 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rizespor −0.25 | 56% | 1.74 |
| Sivasspor −0.25 | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.89 |
| Over | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | ⚽ | Rey Manaj · Sivasspor |
| 58' | 🟨 | İbrahim Akdağ · Sivasspor |
| 67' | 🟨 | Emirhan Topçu · Rizespor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 17 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 0 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sivasspor | Rizespor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.52 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | BG Group 4 Eylül Stadyumu |
| coach days | 72.00 | 255.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.62 | 3.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1522.31 | 1504.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.24 | 0.73 |
| eye test v1 | -0.11 | -0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.80 | 61.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.79 |
| league points | 32.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.00 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 8.85 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.80 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.67 | -0.69 |
| solidity v1 | -0.83 | 0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 29.19 | 25.89 |
| state index | -0.26 | -0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.42 | -0.85 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.50 | 1.24 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.95 | 1.10 |