← Süper Lig 2023 · Sat, Feb 3, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Erdoğan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep win | 45% | 2.13 |
| Kayserispor win | 28% | 3.62 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.54 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep −0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Kayserispor −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Mehmet Eray Özbek · Kayserispor |
| 25' | 🟨 | Miguel Cardoso · Kayserispor |
| 67' | 🟨 | Arif Kocaman · Kayserispor |
| 68' | 🟨 | Alexandru Maxim · Gaziantep |
| 68' | 🟨 | Bilal Bayazit · Kayserispor |
| 68' | ⚽ (og) | Gökhan Sazdağı · Gaziantep |
| 83' | 🟨 | Salem M'Bakata · Gaziantep |
| 85' | 🟨 | Kartal Kayra Yılmaz · Kayserispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 15 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gaziantep | Kayserispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Kalyon Stadyumu |
| coach days | 1008.00 | 33.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1400.26 | 1510.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.42 | -32.12 |
| eye test v1 | -0.63 | -0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.70 | 62.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.66 |
| league points | 24.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.40 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 37.60 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 4.96 | 5.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 0.86 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.80 | -5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.34 | 0.16 |
| solidity v1 | -0.97 | -1.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 29.38 | 28.80 |
| state index | -0.91 | -1.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.85 | 0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.67 | 1.82 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.85 | 1.20 |