← Süper Lig 2023 · Mon, Jan 29, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Ö. Turtay
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor win | 43% | 2.26 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.35 |
| İstanbulspor win | 28% | 3.48 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor +0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| İstanbulspor +0.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.67 |
| Over | 42% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Emir Kaan Gültekin · İstanbulspor |
| 25' | 🟨 | Alim Öztürk · Samsunspor |
| 54' | ⚽ | Emir Kaan Gültekin · İstanbulspor |
| 59' | 🟨 | Modestas Vorobjovas · İstanbulspor |
| 72' | ⚽ | Emre Kılınç · Samsunspor |
| 88' | 🟨 | Simon Deli · İstanbulspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | İstanbulspor | Samsunspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.52 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Esenyurt Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu |
| coach days | 28.00 | 120.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 1.29 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1402.33 | 1547.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.79 | 38.26 |
| eye test v1 | 0.68 | 0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.39 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.20 | 53.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.70 |
| league points | 14.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.80 | 41.40 |
| rest days | 3.88 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.52 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.54 | -0.80 |
| solidity v1 | -0.74 | 0.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 27.24 | 28.70 |
| state index | -0.50 | 0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.19 | -1.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.56 | 1.01 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.30 | 1.28 |