← Süper Lig 2023 · Sun, Jan 28, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: C. Aydın
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 79% | 1.22 |
| Draw | 14% | 7.45 |
| Ankaragücü win | 7% | 15.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ankaragücü −2 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Fenerbahce −2 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.49 |
| Under | 36% | 2.68 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ (pen) | Tolga Ciğerci · Ankaragücü |
| 20' | ⚽ | Cengiz Ünder · Fenerbahce |
| 32' | ⚽ | Cengiz Ünder · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 22 | Shots | 4 |
| 10 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 0 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Ankaragücü |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.55 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| venue | Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi |
| coach days | 606.00 | 119.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 6.40 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 1.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1841.13 | 1544.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.92 | 51.81 |
| eye test v1 | 2.62 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.41 | 0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.90 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.77 |
| league points | 68.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.60 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 63.40 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 3.96 | 4.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 2.52 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 14.60 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 21.80 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 2.25 | -0.27 |
| solidity v1 | 1.44 | 0.88 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 7.50 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 28.75 | 28.11 |
| state index | 1.39 | 0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.05 | -0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.39 | 1.01 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 3.25 | 1.32 |