← Süper Lig 2023 · Sun, Jan 28, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Şansalan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 42% | 2.32 |
| Sivasspor win | 30% | 3.32 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor +0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Besiktas +0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Kerem Atakan Kesgin · Sivasspor |
| 6' | ⚽ | Rey Manaj · Sivasspor |
| 23' | 🟨 | Hakan Arslan · Sivasspor |
| 36' | 🟨 | Demir Ege Tıknaz · Besiktas |
| 72' | 🟨 | Rey Manaj · Sivasspor |
| 80' | 🟨 | Salih Uçan · Besiktas |
| 87' | 🟨 | Yakup Arda Kılıç · Besiktas |
| 88' | 🟨 | Bakhtiyar Zaynutdinov · Besiktas |
| 89' | 🟨 | Murat Paluli · Sivasspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Uğur Çiftçi · Sivasspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ali Şaşal Vural · Sivasspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 10 |
| 22 | Fouls | 9 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sivasspor | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | BG Group 4 Eylül Stadyumu |
| coach days | 58.00 | 27.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.69 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1508.21 | 1630.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.79 | -4.29 |
| eye test v1 | 0.16 | 0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.32 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.10 | 51.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.70 |
| league points | 28.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.00 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 3.83 | 4.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.80 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.42 | 0.46 |
| solidity v1 | -1.62 | 0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 29.19 | 27.29 |
| state index | -0.61 | 0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.79 | 0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.92 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.44 | 1.48 |