← Süper Lig 2023 · Thu, Jan 25, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Ç. Altay
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor win | 56% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.01 |
| Kayserispor win | 20% | 4.98 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor −0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Kayserispor −0.75 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Zeki Yavru · Samsunspor |
| 57' | ⚽ | Ercan Kara · Samsunspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 3 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Samsunspor | Kayserispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.52 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu |
| coach days | 116.00 | 24.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1535.97 | 1522.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.42 | -54.51 |
| eye test v1 | 0.51 | 0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.90 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.67 |
| league points | 29.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.40 | 58.20 |
| rest days | 4.04 | 2.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.66 | 0.55 |
| solidity v1 | -0.08 | -1.95 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.65 | 28.30 |
| state index | 0.29 | -1.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.27 | 0.82 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.32 | 2.14 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.29 | 1.32 |