← Süper Lig 2023 · Wed, Jan 24, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Metoğlu
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ankaragücü win | 44% | 2.21 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Karagumruk win | 27% | 3.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ankaragücü −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Karagumruk −0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Ali Kaan Güneren · Ankaragücü |
| 28' | 🟨 | Stelios Kitsiou · Ankaragücü |
| 61' | ⚽ | Federico Macheda · Ankaragücü |
| 80' | 🟨 | Salih Dursun · Karagumruk |
| 82' | 🟨 | Valentin Eysseric · Karagumruk |
| 86' | 🟨 | Andrea Bertolacci · Karagumruk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 9 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ankaragücü | Karagumruk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Eryaman Stadyumu |
| coach days | 115.00 | 54.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 0.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1529.97 | 1570.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 39.73 | -7.93 |
| eye test v1 | -0.35 | -0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.33 | 0.69 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.60 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.41 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.72 |
| league points | 31.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 3.92 | 4.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.37 | -0.08 |
| solidity v1 | 0.65 | -0.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 28.29 | 29.21 |
| state index | 0.24 | -0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.33 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.22 | 1.79 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.03 | 0.82 |