← Süper Lig 2023 · Sun, Jan 21, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Şimşek
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 79% | 1.21 |
| Draw | 13% | 7.52 |
| Samsunspor win | 8% | 13.48 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor −2 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Fenerbahce −2 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 67% | 1.42 |
| Under | 33% | 2.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | İrfan Can Kahveci · Fenerbahce |
| 20' | 🟨 | Marius Mouandilmadji · Samsunspor |
| 52' | 🟨 | Mert Müldür · Fenerbahce |
| 62' | ⚽ | Emre Kılınç · Samsunspor |
| 84' | 🟨 | Okan Koçuk · Samsunspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Carlo Holse · Samsunspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 6 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 7 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Samsunspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi |
| coach days | 599.00 | 112.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 2.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1836.88 | 1528.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.20 | 3.80 |
| eye test v1 | 1.44 | 0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.56 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.80 | 45.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.64 |
| league points | 61.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 6.88 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 2.54 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.11 | -0.50 |
| solidity v1 | 0.91 | 0.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.80 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 10.33 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 28.72 | 28.35 |
| state index | 1.37 | 0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.10 | -1.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.78 | 1.07 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.49 | 1.48 |