← Süper Lig 2023 · Sun, Jan 21, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: K. Sağlam
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor win | 47% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Gaziantep win | 26% | 3.88 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep −0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Sivasspor −0.5 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Salem M'Bakata · Gaziantep |
| 8' | ⚽ (pen) | Rey Manaj · Sivasspor |
| 15' | ⚽ (pen) | Rey Manaj · Sivasspor |
| 18' | 🟨 | Roman Kvet · Sivasspor |
| 29' | ⚽ | Denis Drăguş · Gaziantep |
| 37' | 🟨 | Rey Manaj · Sivasspor |
| 41' | ⚽ | Papy Djilobodji · Gaziantep |
| 44' | 🟨 | Marko Jevtović · Gaziantep |
| 48' | 🟨 | Denis Drăguş · Gaziantep |
| 64' | 🟨 | Burak Kapacak · Sivasspor |
| 69' | 🟨 | Alexandru Maxim · Gaziantep |
| 81' | 🟨 | Alexandru Maxim · Gaziantep |
| 81' | 🟥 | Alexandru Maxim · Gaziantep |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 14 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sivasspor | Gaziantep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | BG Group 4 Eylül Stadyumu |
| coach days | 51.00 | 995.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 1.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1520.32 | 1394.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.30 | 41.67 |
| eye test v1 | -0.05 | -0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.43 | -0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.76 |
| league points | 27.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.40 | 35.20 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 6.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 0.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.58 | -1.25 |
| solidity v1 | -0.55 | -0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 31.71 | 29.50 |
| state index | -0.02 | -0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.67 | -1.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.66 | 1.49 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.12 | 0.83 |