← Süper Lig 2023 · Sat, Jan 13, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Güzenge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 51% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.84 |
| Karagumruk win | 24% | 4.23 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Karagumruk −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Demir Ege Tıknaz · Besiktas |
| 40' | 🟨 | Bakhtiyar Zaynutdinov · Besiktas |
| 62' | ⚽ | Semih Kılıçsoy · Besiktas |
| 65' | ⚽ | Milot Rashica · Besiktas |
| 84' | 🟨 | Gedson Fernandes · Besiktas |
| 90' | ⚽ | Gedson Fernandes · Besiktas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Besiktas | Karagumruk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Tüpraş Stadyumu |
| coach days | 12.00 | 43.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 1.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.33 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1650.27 | 1582.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -50.34 | -32.90 |
| eye test v1 | 0.42 | -0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.44 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.60 | 62.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.87 |
| league points | 35.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 3.96 | 3.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.52 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.24 | 0.03 |
| solidity v1 | -0.31 | -0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.63 | 26.91 |
| state index | -0.41 | -0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.12 | 0.75 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.30 | 1.40 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.32 | 0.81 |