← Süper Lig 2023 · Wed, Jan 10, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Ü. Öztürk
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor win | 45% | 2.17 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Gaziantep win | 27% | 3.74 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Gaziantep −0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.78 |
| Over | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 51' | 🟨 | Ömer Faruk Beyaz · Hatayspor |
| 63' | 🟨 | Guy-Marcelin Kilama · Hatayspor |
| 75' | 🟨 | Renat Dadaşov · Hatayspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 7 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 4 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hatayspor | Gaziantep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| venue | Mersin Stadyumu |
| coach days | 496.00 | 984.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 1.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1416.31 | 1394.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.20 | 34.80 |
| eye test v1 | -0.24 | -0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.61 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.10 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.71 |
| league points | 24.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 41.60 |
| rest days | 4.15 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 0.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.45 | -0.42 |
| solidity v1 | 0.11 | -1.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.08 | 29.63 |
| state index | -0.79 | -0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.50 | -0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.19 | 1.83 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.33 | 1.36 |