← Süper Lig 2023 · Tue, Jan 9, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Tonusluoğlu
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor win | 50% | 1.92 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.57 |
| Ankaragücü win | 24% | 4.41 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor −0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Ankaragücü −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Efecan Karaca · Alanyaspor |
| 31' | 🟨 | Matěj Hanousek · Ankaragücü |
| 43' | 🟥 | Efkan Bekiroğlu · Ankaragücü |
| 48' | ⚽ | Jure Balkovec · Alanyaspor |
| 59' | 🟥 | Leroy Fer · Alanyaspor |
| 61' | 🟨 | Florent Hadergjonaj · Alanyaspor |
| 61' | 🟨 | Uroš Radaković · Ankaragücü |
| 65' | 🟨 | Jure Balkovec · Alanyaspor |
| 68' | ⚽ | Uroš Radaković · Ankaragücü |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alanyaspor | Ankaragücü |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.16 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Kırbıyık Holding Stadyumu |
| coach days | 69.00 | 100.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 1.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1504.33 | 1490.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 54.22 | -9.63 |
| eye test v1 | 0.68 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | -0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.70 | 59.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.68 |
| league points | 25.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 44.20 |
| rest days | 3.88 | 2.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.86 | -0.60 |
| solidity v1 | 0.78 | 0.92 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 29.01 | 27.73 |
| state index | 0.49 | -0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.05 | -0.65 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.11 | 0.98 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.06 | 0.75 |