← Süper Lig 2023 · Sun, Jan 7, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: V. Bayarslan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 82% | 1.17 |
| Draw | 12% | 8.48 |
| İstanbulspor win | 6% | 18.74 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce +2 | 53% | 1.83 |
| İstanbulspor +2 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 68% | 1.41 |
| Under | 32% | 3.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Cengiz Ünder · Fenerbahce |
| 9' | 🟨 | Muammer Sarıkaya · İstanbulspor |
| 32' | ⚽ | Muammer Sarıkaya · İstanbulspor |
| 34' | ⚽ | Cengiz Ünder · Fenerbahce |
| 44' | ⚽ | Cengiz Ünder · Fenerbahce |
| 45' | ⚽ | Edin Dzeko · Fenerbahce |
| 46' | ⚽ | Cengiz Ünder · Fenerbahce |
| 63' | 🟨 | Alp Arda · İstanbulspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Racine Coly · İstanbulspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Bartuğ Elmaz · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 4 |
| 15 | Shots | 23 |
| 8 | On target | 15 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | İstanbulspor | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı |
| coach days | 6.00 | 585.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 2.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1375.53 | 1825.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.35 | 19.86 |
| eye test v1 | -0.90 | 0.89 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.20 | 67.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.81 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.54 |
| league points | 8.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 20.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 15.10 | 13.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 0.40 | 2.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.39 | 0.79 |
| solidity v1 | -0.79 | 0.97 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 27.15 | 27.80 |
| state index | -0.84 | 1.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.20 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.87 | 0.98 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.89 | 2.30 |