← Süper Lig 2023 · Sat, Jan 6, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: E. Kargın
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor win | 39% | 2.47 |
| Karagumruk win | 31% | 3.26 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Samsunspor −0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.64 |
| Over | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Marius Mouandilmadji · Samsunspor |
| 24' | 🟨 | Valentin Eysseric · Karagumruk |
| 30' | 🟨 | Taylan Antalyalı · Samsunspor |
| 64' | 🟨 | Can Keleş · Karagumruk |
| 84' | ⚽ | Ercan Kara · Samsunspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Davide Biraschi · Karagumruk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 22 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Samsunspor | Karagumruk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| venue | Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu |
| coach days | 97.00 | 36.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 1.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.34 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1509.57 | 1578.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 47.33 | -41.10 |
| eye test v1 | 0.16 | -0.67 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | -0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.40 | 61.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.90 |
| league points | 22.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.80 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.80 | 56.00 |
| rest days | 12.08 | 14.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.01 | 0.23 |
| solidity v1 | -0.67 | 0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.69 | 27.51 |
| state index | 0.36 | -0.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.38 | 0.82 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.69 | 1.15 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.57 | 0.94 |