← Süper Lig 2023 · Mon, Dec 25, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Ü. Öztürk
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ankaragücü win | 40% | 2.40 |
| Pendikspor win | 31% | 3.13 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.42 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pendikspor +0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Ankaragücü +0.25 | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.90 |
| Over | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Efkan Bekiroğlu · Ankaragücü |
| 42' | 🟨 | Renaldo Cephas · Ankaragücü |
| 47' | 🟨 | Olimpiu Moruțan · Ankaragücü |
| 58' | 🟨 | Atakan Çankaya · Ankaragücü |
| 78' | ⚽ | Alpaslan Öztürk · Pendikspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pendikspor | Ankaragücü |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Siltaş Yapı Pendik Stadyumu |
| coach days | 85.00 | 85.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 1.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1440.64 | 1497.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -41.46 | -14.28 |
| eye test v1 | -0.59 | -0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | 0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.00 | 56.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.78 |
| league points | 14.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.60 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 4.13 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 0.70 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.59 | -0.68 |
| solidity v1 | -1.71 | 0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 31.48 | 27.50 |
| state index | -1.32 | -0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.33 | -0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.16 | 0.89 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.98 | 0.75 |