← Süper Lig 2023 · Mon, Dec 25, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: K. Sağlam
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 37% | 2.64 |
| Hatayspor win | 36% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.61 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas +0 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Hatayspor +0 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.93 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | ⚽ | Semih Kılıçsoy · Besiktas |
| 51' | 🟨 | Rigoberto Rivas · Hatayspor |
| 53' | ⚽ | Omar Colley · Besiktas |
| 57' | 🟨 | Daniel Amartey · Besiktas |
| 80' | ⚽ | Armin Hodžić · Hatayspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hatayspor | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Mersin Stadyumu |
| coach days | 480.00 | 24.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 2.28 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1431.09 | 1675.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.56 | -58.07 |
| eye test v1 | 0.24 | -0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.00 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.80 | 41.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.69 |
| league points | 24.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.53 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.19 | 0.15 |
| solidity v1 | -0.81 | -1.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.21 | 28.76 |
| state index | -0.53 | -0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.02 | 0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.58 | 2.07 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.72 | 0.99 |