← Süper Lig 2023 · Sat, Dec 23, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Şansalan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk win | 55% | 1.74 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.91 |
| Gaziantep win | 20% | 5.04 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk −0.75 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Gaziantep −0.75 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | ⚽ | Denis Drăguş · Gaziantep |
| 29' | 🟨 | Kevin Lasagna · Karagumruk |
| 36' | 🟨 | Lazar Marković · Gaziantep |
| 49' | ⚽ | Max Gradel · Gaziantep |
| 56' | 🟨 | Federico Ceccherini · Karagumruk |
| 87' | ⚽ | Nicolas N'Koulou · Gaziantep |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sofiane Feghouli · Karagumruk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karagumruk | Gaziantep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.20 |
| venue | Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı |
| coach days | 22.00 | 966.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 1.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1608.60 | 1365.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.89 | -6.82 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.70 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.69 |
| league points | 23.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 42.00 |
| rest days | 2.83 | 3.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 0.85 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.02 | -0.41 |
| solidity v1 | 0.86 | -1.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.54 | 29.87 |
| state index | 0.09 | -1.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.31 | -0.89 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.97 | 1.42 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.05 | 1.42 |