← Süper Lig 2023 · Sat, Dec 23, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: M. Güzenge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor win | 65% | 1.46 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.66 |
| İstanbulspor win | 14% | 7.66 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor −1 | 55% | 1.73 |
| İstanbulspor −1 | 45% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | 🟨 | Modestas Vorobjovas · İstanbulspor |
| 58' | 🟨 | Racine Coly · İstanbulspor |
| 86' | ⚽ | Rey Manaj · Sivasspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 0 |
| 9 | Corners | 7 |
| 7 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sivasspor | İstanbulspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.14 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| venue | BG Group 4 Eylül Stadyumu |
| coach days | 22.00 | 448.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 2.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1495.02 | 1380.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.99 | -18.26 |
| eye test v1 | -0.05 | -0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.69 | -0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.80 | 50.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.57 |
| league points | 19.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 3.85 | 3.73 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.49 | -0.29 |
| solidity v1 | -0.98 | -0.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 29.57 | 26.95 |
| state index | -0.66 | -0.98 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.39 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.76 | 1.71 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.85 | 0.92 |