← Süper Lig 2023 · Thu, Dec 21, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Bitigen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ankaragücü win | 43% | 2.27 |
| Hatayspor win | 30% | 3.36 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Ankaragücü −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | 🟨 | Görkem Sağlam · Hatayspor |
| 71' | 🟨 | Rigoberto Rivas · Hatayspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ankaragücü | Hatayspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Eryaman Stadyumu |
| coach days | 81.00 | 476.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 2.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1501.37 | 1427.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.58 | 18.19 |
| eye test v1 | -0.16 | 0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.57 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.70 | 58.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.67 |
| league points | 20.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 10.00 | 11.17 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.70 | 0.07 |
| solidity v1 | 0.24 | -1.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.65 | 25.31 |
| state index | -0.21 | -0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.46 | -0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.94 | 1.71 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.58 | 1.84 |