← Süper Lig 2023 · Mon, Dec 11, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: H. Meler
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ankaragücü win | 47% | 2.04 |
| Rizespor win | 26% | 3.80 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.62 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rizespor −0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Ankaragücü −0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.78 |
| Under | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Renaldo Cephas · Ankaragücü |
| 14' | ⚽ | Olimpiu Moruțan · Ankaragücü |
| 33' | 🟨 | Emirhan Topçu · Rizespor |
| 39' | 🟨 | Altin Zeqiri · Rizespor |
| 40' | 🟨 | Ali Sowe · Ankaragücü |
| 50' | 🟨 | Ali Sowe · Ankaragücü |
| 50' | 🟥 | Ali Sowe · Ankaragücü |
| 66' | 🟨 | Martin Minchev · Rizespor |
| 83' | 🟨 | Bahadır Han Güngördü · Ankaragücü |
| 83' | 🟨 | Adolfo Gaich · Rizespor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Emirhan Topçu · Rizespor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Casper Højer · Rizespor |
| 90' | 🟥 | Emirhan Topçu · Rizespor |
| 90' | ⚽ | Adolfo Gaich · Rizespor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 13 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 19 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ankaragücü | Rizespor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 71.00 |
| venue | Eryaman Stadyumu |
| 193.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.33 | 1.51 |
| elo | 1505.08 | 1467.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.97 | 5.48 |
| eye test v1 | -0.30 | -0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | 0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.70 | 61.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.99 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.76 |
| league points | 17.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 8.04 | 9.17 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.50 |
| skill v1 | -0.24 | -0.37 |
| solidity v1 | 0.56 | -0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| state index | 0.00 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.31 | -0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.72 | 1.49 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.72 | 1.04 |