← Süper Lig 2023 · Sun, Dec 10, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: C. Aydın
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor win | 44% | 2.19 |
| İstanbulspor win | 30% | 3.32 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor +0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| İstanbulspor +0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.86 |
| Under | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | 🟨 | Richard Cândido · Alanyaspor |
| 89' | ⚽ (pen) | João Novais · Alanyaspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Modestas Vorobjovas · İstanbulspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | João Novais · Alanyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 18 |
| 2 | On target | 7 |
| 1 | Corners | 9 |
| 23 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | İstanbulspor | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu |
| coach days | 435.00 | 39.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 1.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1395.81 | 1451.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.52 | -37.32 |
| eye test v1 | -0.45 | -0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.20 | 60.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -2.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.58 |
| league points | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 17.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 8.73 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 0.47 | 0.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.14 | 0.39 |
| solidity v1 | -1.08 | -1.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.89 | 26.76 |
| state index | -0.79 | -1.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.29 | 0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.86 | 1.85 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.16 | 1.24 |