← Süper Lig 2023 · Sat, Dec 9, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Karaoğlan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 52% | 1.84 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.92 |
| Besiktas win | 23% | 4.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce +0.5 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Besiktas +0.5 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.81 |
| Under | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Edin Dzeko · Fenerbahce |
| 21' | 🟨 | Edin Dzeko · Fenerbahce |
| 21' | 🟨 | Samet Akaydın · Fenerbahce |
| 23' | 🟨 | Ante Rebić · Besiktas |
| 23' | 🟨 | Fred · Fenerbahce |
| 24' | ⚽ (pen) | Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain · Besiktas |
| 52' | 🟨 | Salih Uçan · Besiktas |
| 63' | ⚽ (pen) | Dušan Tadić · Fenerbahce |
| 75' | 🟨 | Mert Günok · Besiktas |
| 78' | 🟨 | Tayfur Bingöl · Besiktas |
| 82' | 🟨 | İrfan Can Kahveci · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Necip Uysal · Besiktas |
| 90' | ⚽ | Sebastian Szymański · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 4 | Shots | 23 |
| 1 | On target | 10 |
| 1 | Corners | 6 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Besiktas | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Tüpraş Stadyumu |
| coach days | 8.00 | 556.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 2.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.67 |
| elo | 1705.72 | 1805.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.75 | -24.31 |
| eye test v1 | -0.10 | -0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | -0.49 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 39.00 | 63.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 1.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.65 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | — |
| league points | 29.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 4.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.37 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 2.59 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| solidity v1 | -0.43 | 0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 29.38 | 28.25 |
| state index | 0.29 | 0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.48 | 0.75 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.38 | 1.17 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.21 | 1.03 |